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Brief Date: Thursday, 10 September 2026Data as of: Wednesday, 9 September 2026

Nickel inputs soften faster than chrome

Market Thesis

Nickel and NPI softened while chrome inputs were mostly flat-to-soft. India stayed firmer, and DGTR's revised 300/400-series oral hearing is scheduled for 16 September 2026.

Trade Intelligence Notice: Indicative trade intelligence for industrial planning. Every figure carries its actual verified source and date. For firm contract pricing on specific coils, circles, or sheets, contact our desk.

China & Global Inputs

LMEselect nickel 3-monthNI-3M
USD 16,695/mt

9 September session.

Down USD 60 (-0.36%)SMM LMEselect Nickel 3 Month, 9 Sep 2026
SHFE stainless most-traded contract closeSS-MOST
RMB 13,830/mt

8 September close.

Down RMB 55 (-0.40%) from 7 Sep; up RMB 5 (+0.04%) from 1 SepSMM Nickel Morning Meeting, 9 Sep 2026; SMM stainless daily reviews, 7 Sep and 1 Sep 2026
China NPI 10-12% ex-worksNPI-CN-10-12
CNY 1,097/mtu
Key Inventory Signal9 September assessment.
Down CNY 4 (-0.36%)SMM China NPI 10-12%, 9 Sep 2026
Indonesia NPI FOB indexNPI-ID-FOB
USD 141.14/mtu

9 September assessment.

Down USD 0.76SMM Nickel Prices, 9 Sep 2026
Indonesia nickel HMAID-NI-HMA
USD 16,733.33/mt

First half of September 2026.

Down USD 226.67/mt (-1.33%) from H2 AugIndonesia ESDM via SMM, 2 Sep 2026
China stainless mill expected HC ferrochrome tender indexHCFECR-CN-TENDER
CNY 7,961.35/50 reference tonne

9 September assessment.

Down CNY 13.99 (-0.18%)SMM Chromium, 9 Sep 2026
South Africa high-carbon ferrochrome in ChinaHCFECR-ZA-CN
CNY 8,350/50 reference tonne

9 September assessment.

UnchangedSMM Chromium, 9 Sep 2026
South Africa 40-42% chrome crude ore in TianjinCR-ORE-ZA-TJ
CNY 53.75/tonne-unit

9 September warehouse assessment.

UnchangedSMM Chromium, 9 Sep 2026
EU stainless flat-product importsEU-SS-FLAT-IMPORTS
H1 2026

Overall EU stainless imports were down 21% year-on-year.

Down 35% year-on-yearSMM Stainless Steel Flash citing Eurostat, 9 Sep 2026
Global H1 stainless productionGLOBAL-SS-H1
33.0 million t

H1CY26 melt-shop production.

Up 5% year-on-yearBigMint, 8 Sep 2026

India Domestic

India stainless bright-bar export directionIN-SS-BRIGHT-BAR-FOB
Firm WoW

BigMint stainless insight dated 8 September.

BigMint Stainless Steel Insights, 8 Sep 2026
India stainless scrap directionIN-SS-SCRAP
Inched up WoW

BigMint stainless insight dated 4 September.

BigMint Stainless Steel Insights, 4 Sep 2026
India H1 stainless productionIN-SS-H1
2.16 million t

H1CY26 production; JSL is expanding cold-rolled capacity by about 620,000 t to 2.67 million t by FY28.

Up 5% year-on-year from 2.05 million tBigMint, 8 Sep 2026
Desk Outlook

Market Read: Outlook & Risk Balance

Market Bias300-series soft; 400-series flat-to-soft.
Horizon2-4 weeks
PaceGradual
Analytical Reasoning

China and Indonesia NPI moved lower and first-half September HMA is below late August. Chrome is less weak: the China mill ferrochrome tender index eased modestly while South African ferrochrome and chrome ore were unchanged.

Key Factors to Watch
  • LME 3M nickel
  • China NPI 10-12%
  • Indonesia NPI FOB
  • Indonesia HMA
  • China HC ferrochrome tender index
  • South African chrome ore
  • DGTR oral hearing on 16 September 2026
Step-Change Risk

An applicable duty outcome in the DGTR cold-rolled 300/400-series case could override the gradual raw-material path.

Statutory & Trade Defense

Policy Watch

DGTR revised oral hearing for cold-rolled stainless 300/400-series case

Scheduled for Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 3:30 PM IST

The case covers China PR, Indonesia and Vietnam. The hearing will be held by digital video conference.

DGTR revised oral hearing notice, 9 Sep 2026

Malaysia anti-dumping investigation on Indonesian cold-rolled stainless

Initiated 9 September 2026

Case AD 03/26 covers cold-rolled stainless products from Indonesia; questionnaire responses and views are due within 30 days of gazette publication.

SMM Stainless Steel Flash, 9 Sep 2026

Source Attribution: SMM LMEselect Nickel 3 Month, 9 Sep 2026 | SMM China NPI 10-12%, 9 Sep 2026 | SMM Nickel Prices, 9 Sep 2026 | SMM Indonesia HMA, 2 Sep 2026 | SMM Nickel Morning Meeting, 9 Sep 2026 | SMM Chromium price pages, 9 Sep 2026 | SMM EU Stainless Steel Flash, 9 Sep 2026 | BigMint stainless insights, 4 and 8 Sep 2026 | BigMint global stainless production, 8 Sep 2026 | DGTR revised oral hearing notice, 9 Sep 2026 | SMM Malaysia anti-dumping flash, 9 Sep 2026

Published by Metal Dock B2B Trade Intelligence Desk  ·  Wazirpur Industrial Area, Delhi

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