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Brief Date: Wednesday, 16 September 2026Data as of: Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Nickel weakens while Indian coil prices rise

Market Thesis

Nickel and NPI softened sharply, chrome eased only marginally, Indian mills raised selected stainless coil prices, and DGTR's revised oral hearing falls today.

Trade Intelligence Notice: Indicative trade intelligence for industrial planning. Every figure carries its actual verified source and date. For firm contract pricing on specific coils, circles, or sheets, contact our desk.

China & Global Inputs

LME 3-month nickelNI-3M
USD 16,410/mt
Key Inventory Signal15 Sep 2026 market reference.
LowerSMM, 15 Sep 2026 — https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104113972-smm-stainless-steel-flash-indias-leading-stainless-producer-raises-316l-coil-prices-second-revision-this-month
SHFE stainless most-traded contract closeSS-MOST
RMB 13,560/mt

15 Sep 2026 close.

Down RMB 155 (-1.13%) from 9 SepSMM, 15 Sep 2026 — https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104115913-smm-stainless-steel-daily-review-ss-futures-stop-falling-and-recover-steel-mills-hold-prices-firm-amid-weak-demand-suppressing-stainless-steel-spot-prices
China NPI 10-12%NPI-CN-10-12
USD 139.10/mtu

16 Sep 2026 assessment.

Down USD 2.48SMM, 16 Sep 2026 — https://www-old.metal.com/price/Base-Metals/Nickel
Indonesia NPI FOB indexNPI-ID-FOB
USD 136.38/mtu

16 Sep 2026 assessment.

Down USD 2.48SMM, 16 Sep 2026 — https://www-old.metal.com/price/Base-Metals/Nickel
China stainless mill HC ferrochrome tender indexHCFECR-CN-TENDER
CNY 7,936.58/50 reference tonne

16 Sep 2026 assessment.

Down CNY 20.01 (-0.25%)SMM, 16 Sep 2026 — https://www-old.metal.com/chromium/202503270001
South Africa high-carbon ferrochrome in ChinaHCFECR-ZA-CN
CNY 8,350/50 reference tonne

16 Sep 2026 assessment.

UnchangedSMM, 16 Sep 2026 — https://www-old.metal.com/Chromium/202412310001

India Domestic

India 304 HRC benchmarkIN-304-HRC
INR 222,000/t

15 Sep 2026 market reference.

FirmSMM, 15 Sep 2026 — https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104113972-smm-stainless-steel-flash-indias-leading-stainless-producer-raises-316l-coil-prices-second-revision-this-month
India 316 HRC benchmarkIN-316-HRC
INR 433,000/t

Revision effective 12 Sep 2026.

Up INR 3,000/t on 316L HR/CRSMM, 15 Sep 2026 — https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104113972-smm-stainless-steel-flash-indias-leading-stainless-producer-raises-316l-coil-prices-second-revision-this-month
India stainless scrap importsIN-SS-SCRAP-IMPORTS-H1
0.67 million t

H1 2026.

Down 6% year-on-yearSMM, 14 Sep 2026 — https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104111761-smm-stainless-steel-flash-indias-stainless-steel-scrap-imports-fall-6-yoy-in-h1-2026-amid-elevated-landed-costs
Desk Outlook

Market Read: Outlook & Risk Balance

Market Bias300-series soft; 400-series flat-to-soft.
Horizon2-4 weeks
PaceGradual
Analytical Reasoning

China and Indonesia NPI fell sharply on 16 September while the China ferrochrome tender index slipped only 0.25% and South African ferrochrome was unchanged. Indian selected coil prices remain firm despite softer nickel inputs.

Key Factors to Watch
  • LME 3M nickel
  • China NPI 10-12%
  • Indonesia NPI FOB
  • China HC ferrochrome tender index
  • South African ferrochrome
  • DGTR oral hearing on 16 September 2026
  • Red Sea and Suez routing changes
Step-Change Risk

An applicable DGTR duty outcome could override gradual raw-material easing, while further Suez routing changes could alter freight and transit times.

Statutory & Trade Defense

Policy Watch

DGTR oral hearing for cold-rolled stainless 300/400-series case

Scheduled for 16 September 2026 at 3:30 PM IST

Case 06/28/2025-DGTR covers China PR, Indonesia and Vietnam; the current case page shows the revised hearing notice as the latest published item.

DGTR, current 16 Sep 2026 — https://www.dgtr.gov.in/en/anti-dumping-cases/anti-dumping-investigation-concerning-imports-cold-rolled-flat-products

The cards

Nickel weakens while Indian coil prices rise — card 1 of 5Nickel weakens while Indian coil prices rise — card 2 of 5Nickel weakens while Indian coil prices rise — card 3 of 5Nickel weakens while Indian coil prices rise — card 4 of 5Nickel weakens while Indian coil prices rise — card 5 of 5

The same cards posted on social. Open one for the full size.

Source Attribution: SMM 15-16 Sep 2026 | BigMint 14-15 Sep 2026 | DGTR current 16 Sep 2026 | Maersk 14 Sep 2026

Published by Metal Dock B2B Trade Intelligence Desk  ·  Wazirpur Industrial Area, Delhi

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