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Brief Date: Thursday, 17 September 2026Data as of: Wednesday, 16 September 2026

India stays firm while China stainless weakens

Market Thesis

China stainless futures and NPI softened while an Indian mill’s 316L revision kept domestic pricing firm, widening the domestic-global divergence.

Trade Intelligence Notice: Indicative trade intelligence for industrial planning. Every figure carries its actual verified source and date. For firm contract pricing on specific coils, circles, or sheets, contact our desk.

China & Global Inputs

China most-traded stainless futuresCN-SS-FUT
CNY 13,540/mt

The 16 September close remained under pressure as end-user demand stayed weak. One-week comparison is not sourced this week.

1D -CNY 20/mt (-0.1%)Source: SMM, 17 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104118575-smm-nickel-morning-meeting-summary-expectations-for-us-fed-interest-rate-hikes-remain-high-us-bonds-continue-to-strengthen-and-the-most-traded-shfe-nickel-contract-falls-under-pressure-in-early-trading
China stainless social inventoryCN-SS-INV
Stable week-on-week
Key Inventory SignalSMM described stainless social inventory as basically stable under weak supply and demand.
Source: SMM, 17 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104118575-smm-nickel-morning-meeting-summary-expectations-for-us-fed-interest-rate-hikes-remain-high-us-bonds-continue-to-strengthen-and-the-most-traded-shfe-nickel-contract-falls-under-pressure-in-early-trading
LME nickel 3MNI-3M
USD 16,250/mt

LME official 3-month closing price for the completed 16 Sep 2026 session.

Unchanged (0.0%)Source: Westmetall, 16 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
LME nickel inventory directionLME-NI-STOCK
Sharp inventory buildup
Key Inventory SignalSMM reported a sharp LME nickel inventory buildup on 16 September.
Source: SMM, 17 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104118575-smm-nickel-morning-meeting-summary-expectations-for-us-fed-interest-rate-hikes-remain-high-us-bonds-continue-to-strengthen-and-the-most-traded-shfe-nickel-contract-falls-under-pressure-in-early-trading
Indonesia NPI 10-12% delivered China portsID-NPI-10-12
USD 139.49/nickel unit

High-grade NPI remained in a bottom-seeking phase with sluggish spot transactions.

-USD 2.43/nickel unitSource: SMM, 16 Sep 2026 - https://www-old.metal.com/Nickel/202412310018
Inner Mongolia high-carbon ferrochromeCN-HC-FC
USD 1,032.55/50 reference tonne

Ferrochrome eased modestly, softening one part of the 400-series input chain.

-USD 0.32/50 reference tonneSource: SMM, 16 Sep 2026 - https://www-old.metal.com/price/Minor-Metals/Chromium
South Africa 40-42% chrome concentrate CIF ChinaSA-CHROME-CIF
USD 282.5/tonne

Chrome concentrate also softened, reinforcing a gentler 400-series input tone.

-USD 6.5/tonneSource: SMM, 16 Sep 2026 - https://www-old.metal.com/price/Minor-Metals/Chromium

India Domestic

India 316 HRC benchmarkIN-316-HRC
INR 433,000/t
Key Inventory SignalThe 12 September mill revision lifted 316L HR and CR by INR 3,000/t; the current 316 HRC benchmark remains INR 433,000/t.
Unchanged since 12 Sep revisionSource: SMM, 15 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104113972-smm-stainless-steel-flash-indias-leading-stainless-producer-raises-316l-coil-prices-second-revision-this-month
India J4 HR/CR mill revisionIN-J4-REV
INR 1,500/t increase

The same producer revised J4 HR and CR higher effective 12 September.

+INR 1,500/tSource: SMM, 15 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104113972-smm-stainless-steel-flash-indias-leading-stainless-producer-raises-316l-coil-prices-second-revision-this-month
Desk Outlook

Market Read: Outlook & Risk Balance

Market BiasIndia firm; global mixed-to-soft
Horizon2-4 weeks
PaceGradual
Analytical Reasoning

NPI, ferrochrome and chrome ore are softer while Indian mill revisions and tight stainless scrap resist the decline.

Key Factors to Watch
  • India stainless scrap availability
  • DGTR stainless case updates
Step-Change Risk

A trade-remedy outcome or a material Indonesian supply-policy shift would create a discrete cost move.

Statutory & Trade Defense

Policy Watch

India cold-rolled stainless 300/400-series anti-dumping investigation

Revised oral-hearing notice remains the latest case-page item

The case page lists 'Revised Date for Oral hearing' published 9 Sep 2026 and no later determination.

Source: DGTR, 9 Sep 2026 - https://www.dgtr.gov.in/en/anti-dumping-cases/anti-dumping-investigation-concerning-imports-cold-rolled-flat-products

The cards

India stays firm while China stainless weakens — card 1 of 4India stays firm while China stainless weakens — card 2 of 4India stays firm while China stainless weakens — card 3 of 4India stays firm while China stainless weakens — card 4 of 4

The same cards posted on social. Open one for the full size.

Source Attribution: SMM 17 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104118575-smm-nickel-morning-meeting-summary-expectations-for-us-fed-interest-rate-hikes-remain-high-us-bonds-continue-to-strengthen-and-the-most-traded-shfe-nickel-contract-falls-under-pressure-in-early-trading; Westmetall 16 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash; SMM NPI 16 Sep 2026 - https://www-old.metal.com/Nickel/202412310018; SMM Chromium 16 Sep 2026 - https://www-old.metal.com/price/Minor-Metals/Chromium; SMM India stainless 15 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104113972-smm-stainless-steel-flash-indias-leading-stainless-producer-raises-316l-coil-prices-second-revision-this-month; DGTR 9 Sep 2026 - https://www.dgtr.gov.in/en/anti-dumping-cases/anti-dumping-investigation-concerning-imports-cold-rolled-flat-products

Published by Metal Dock B2B Trade Intelligence Desk  ·  Wazirpur Industrial Area, Delhi

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