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Brief Date: Saturday, 19 September 2026Data as of: Friday, 18 September 2026

Nickel and NPI soften as India scrap turns lower

Market Thesis

LME nickel and high-grade NPI moved lower on 18 September while China stainless futures posted their first weekly gain in six weeks. Indian stainless scrap prices fell week-on-week as buyers shifted to alternatives, while chrome inputs were comparatively steady.

Trade Intelligence Notice: Indicative trade intelligence for industrial planning. Every figure carries its actual verified source and date. For firm contract pricing on specific coils, circles, or sheets, contact our desk.

China & Global Inputs

LME 3-month nickelNI-3M
USD 16,180/mt

LME official 3-month closing price for the completed 18 Sep 2026 session.

-USD 170/mt (-1.0%)Source: Westmetall, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
LME nickel stocksLME-NI-STOCK
278,826 mt
Key Inventory SignalLME warehouse stock on 18 Sep 2026.
+36 mt day-on-daySource: Westmetall, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
SHFE stainless benchmark contract closeCN-SS-FUT
RMB 13,675/mt

18 Sep 2026 close; first weekly gain in six weeks.

+RMB 5/mt week-on-weekSource: SMM, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
China 300-series stainless social inventoryCN-300-SOCIAL-STOCK
578,000 mt
Key Inventory Signal17 Sep 2026 inventory; the draw reflected mill production cuts and low-price restocking.
-7,000 mt (-1.2%) week-on-weekSource: SMM, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
China 10-12% high-grade NPINPI-CN-10-12
RMB 1,062.4/nickel unit

18 Sep 2026 ex-factory assessment, tax included.

-RMB 33.1/nickel unit week-on-weekSource: SMM, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom
Indonesia NPI FOB indexNPI-ID-FOB
USD 137.08/nickel unit

18 Sep 2026 average FOB index assessment.

-USD 4.06/nickel unit week-on-weekSource: SMM, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom
China stainless mill HC ferrochrome tender indexHCFECR-CN-TENDER
CNY 7,917.12/50 reference tonne

18 Sep 2026 assessment.

-CNY 5.41/50 reference tonneSource: SMM, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www-old.metal.com/chromium/202503270001
South Africa high-carbon ferrochrome in ChinaHCFECR-ZA-CN
CNY 8,350/50 reference tonne

18 Sep 2026 assessment.

UnchangedSource: SMM, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www-old.metal.com/Chromium/202412310001

India Domestic

India stainless steel scrap directionIN-SS-SCRAP-DIR
Down week-on-week
Key Inventory SignalBigMint's 18 Sep stainless insight links the weekly decline to buyers shifting toward alternatives.
Source: BigMint, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.bigmint.co/insights/ferrous/stainless-steel
Desk Outlook

Market Read: Outlook & Risk Balance

Market Bias300-series soft; 400-series flat-to-soft.
Horizon2-4 weeks
PaceGradual
Analytical Reasoning

LME nickel fell 1.0% day-on-day and high-grade NPI declined week-on-week, while the China ferrochrome tender index eased only marginally and South African high-carbon ferrochrome was unchanged. Indian stainless scrap also fell week-on-week.

Key Factors to Watch
  • LME 3-month nickel
  • China and Indonesia NPI
  • China ferrochrome tender index
  • India stainless scrap direction
Step-Change Risk

Additional Indonesian ore approvals could accelerate nickel-side easing, while a disruption to Indonesian ore flows or South African chrome logistics could reverse the move.

Statutory & Trade Defense

Policy Watch

The cards

Nickel and NPI soften as India scrap turns lower — card 1 of 4Nickel and NPI soften as India scrap turns lower — card 2 of 4Nickel and NPI soften as India scrap turns lower — card 3 of 4Nickel and NPI soften as India scrap turns lower — card 4 of 4

The same cards posted on social. Open one for the full size.

Source Attribution: Westmetall 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash | SMM stainless 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back | SMM NPI 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom | SMM ferrochrome tender 18 Sep 2026 - https://www-old.metal.com/chromium/202503270001 | SMM South Africa ferrochrome 18 Sep 2026 - https://www-old.metal.com/Chromium/202412310001 | BigMint stainless 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.bigmint.co/insights/ferrous/stainless-steel

Published by Metal Dock B2B Trade Intelligence Desk  ·  Wazirpur Industrial Area, Delhi

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