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Brief Date: Sunday, 20 September 2026Data as of: Friday, 18 September 2026

Nickel inputs soften; India scrap follows lower

Market Thesis

Nickel and NPI inputs ended the week lower while China stainless futures steadied and 300-series social inventory declined. Indian stainless scrap prices also fell week-on-week as buyers shifted toward alternatives.

Trade Intelligence Notice: Indicative trade intelligence for industrial planning. Every figure carries its actual verified source and date. For firm contract pricing on specific coils, circles, or sheets, contact our desk.

China & Global Inputs

LME 3-month nickelNI-3M
USD 16,180/mt

The 18 September close was 1.0% below 17 September and 1.4% below 11 September.

Down USD 170/mt day-on-day and USD 235/mt week-on-weekSource: Westmetall LME nickel table, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
LME nickel stockLME-NI-STOCK
278,826 mt
Key Inventory SignalExchange stock was nearly unchanged into the weekend.
Up 36 mt day-on-daySource: Westmetall LME nickel table, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
SHFE stainless closeSHFE-SS
RMB 13,675/mt

The contract posted its first weekly gain in six weeks, but the increase was only RMB 5/mt.

Up RMB 5/mt week-on-weekSource: SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
China 300-series social inventoryCN-300-STOCK
578,000 mt
Key Inventory SignalProduction cuts and low-price restocking supported the draw; SMM did not attribute it to an end-demand recovery.
Down 7,000 mt, or 1.2%, week-on-weekSource: SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
China high-grade NPICN-NPI
RMB 1,062.4/nickel unit

Rising inventory, weak stainless demand and adequate mill stocks kept bids under pressure.

Down RMB 33.1/nickel unit week-on-weekSource: SMM NPI analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom
Indonesia NPI FOBID-NPI
USD 137.08/nickel unit

Lower Chinese mill bids transmitted pressure to Indonesian material.

Down USD 4.06/nickel unit week-on-weekSource: SMM NPI analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom

India Domestic

India stainless scrapIN-SS-SCRAP
Down week-on-week
Key Inventory SignalThe latest public BigMint direction aligned Indian scrap with the weaker nickel-bearing input trend.
Source: BigMint stainless steel insights, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.bigmint.co/insights/scrap-recycling/stainless-steel
Desk Outlook

Market Read: Outlook & Risk Balance

Market Bias300-series soft; 400-series mixed
Horizon2-4 weeks
PaceGradual
Analytical Reasoning

Nickel and NPI moved lower and Indian stainless scrap followed, while the small SHFE gain and China inventory draw were linked to production restraint and restocking rather than a broad demand recovery.

Key Factors to Watch
  • Chinese mill NPI bids and high-grade NPI inventory
  • Indian stainless scrap availability and substitution
  • Whether the China 300-series inventory draw persists
Step-Change Risk

A disruption to Indonesian ore supply could reverse nickel-side easing; 400-series direction remains less clear without a fresh public chrome benchmark.

Statutory & Trade Defense

Policy Watch

The cards

Nickel inputs soften; India scrap follows lower — card 1 of 5Nickel inputs soften; India scrap follows lower — card 2 of 5Nickel inputs soften; India scrap follows lower — card 3 of 5Nickel inputs soften; India scrap follows lower — card 4 of 5Nickel inputs soften; India scrap follows lower — card 5 of 5

The same cards posted on social. Open one for the full size.

Source Attribution: Westmetall LME nickel table, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash; SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back; SMM NPI analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom; BigMint stainless steel insights, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.bigmint.co/insights/scrap-recycling/stainless-steel

Published by Metal Dock B2B Trade Intelligence Desk  ·  Wazirpur Industrial Area, Delhi

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