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Brief Date: Tuesday, 22 September 2026Data as of: Monday, 21 September 2026

Nickel bounces as input costs find floor

Market Thesis

LME nickel and SHFE stainless edge higher as supply cuts and cost compression restore mill margins, though peak-season restocking remains subdued.

Trade Intelligence Notice: Indicative trade intelligence for industrial planning. Every figure carries its actual verified source and date. For firm contract pricing on specific coils, circles, or sheets, contact our desk.

China & Global Inputs

LME 3-month nickelNI-3M
USD 16,265/mt
Key Inventory SignalOfficial 3-month close for the 21 September session.
Up USD 85/mt day-on-daySource: Westmetall LME nickel table, 21 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
LME nickel stockLME-NI-STOCK
278,526 mt
Key Inventory SignalExchange inventory decreased slightly into the new week.
Down 300 mt day-on-daySource: Westmetall LME nickel table, 21 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
SHFE stainless closeSHFE-SS
RMB 13,675/mt

Front-month benchmark recorded its first weekly gain in six weeks.

Up RMB 5/mt week-on-weekSource: SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
China 300-series social inventoryCN-300-STOCK
578,000 mt
Key Inventory SignalDrawdown driven by mill production cuts and low-price spot clearance.
Down 7,000 mt week-on-weekSource: SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
China high-grade NPICN-NPI
RMB 1,062.4/nickel unit

Spot prices drifted lower amid ample port inventories and cautious mill bids.

Down RMB 33.1/nickel unit week-on-weekSource: SMM NPI analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom
Indonesia NPI FOBID-NPI
USD 137.08/nickel unit

Transmitted lower Chinese buying pressure to Indonesian material.

Down USD 4.06/nickel unit week-on-weekSource: SMM NPI analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom

India Domestic

India stainless scrapIN-SS-SCRAP
Down week-on-week

BigMint commentary points to softening scrap pricing and substitution.

Source: BigMint stainless steel insights, 18 Sep 2026 - https://www.bigmint.co/insights/scrap-recycling/stainless-steel
Desk Outlook

Market Read: Outlook & Risk Balance

Market BiasBearish to neutral
Horizon2 to 4 weeks
PaceGradual
Analytical Reasoning

Landed costs for 300-series stainless face continued downward drift as NPI inputs seek a floor, though recent mill production cuts have successfully restored minor margins.

Key Factors to Watch
  • Durability of mill production cuts
  • Macroeconomic base metal valuations and US rate policy
Step-Change Risk

Potential supply chain shocks from Middle Eastern energy disruptions and international trade remedy determinations.

Statutory & Trade Defense

Policy Watch

US Preliminary CVD Ruling on Stainless Pipes

Delayed

The US delayed its preliminary countervailing duty ruling on stainless steel pipes imported from India and Turkey.

Source: SMM stainless flash, 22 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
OEM Deep Draw & Tooling

Utensils & Houseware Manufacturing Impact

Utensil and cookware manufacturers maintain balanced procurement as primary stainless coil costs stabilise, awaiting clearer end-user demand signals ahead of the upcoming quarter.

The cards

Nickel bounces as input costs find floor — card 1 of 4Nickel bounces as input costs find floor — card 2 of 4Nickel bounces as input costs find floor — card 3 of 4Nickel bounces as input costs find floor — card 4 of 4

The same cards posted on social. Open one for the full size.

Source Attribution: Westmetall LME nickel table (21 Sep 2026); SMM China stainless weekly analysis (18 Sep 2026); SMM NPI market analysis (18 Sep 2026); BigMint stainless insights (18 Sep 2026); SMM news flash (22 Sep 2026).

Published by Metal Dock B2B Trade Intelligence Desk  ·  Wazirpur Industrial Area, Delhi

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Market History

Previous Daily Briefs

View Latest
Monday, 21 September 2026

Nickel costs slide as stainless finds floor

SHFE stainless futures steadied near a V-shaped floor as sharp declines in high-grade NPI and LME nickel restored mill margins despite sluggish peak-season end-user demand.

Read →
Sunday, 20 September 2026

Nickel inputs soften; India scrap follows lower

Nickel and NPI inputs ended the week lower while China stainless futures steadied and 300-series social inventory declined. Indian stainless scrap prices also fell week-on-week as buyers shifted toward alternatives.

Read →
Saturday, 19 September 2026

Nickel and NPI soften as India scrap turns lower

LME nickel and high-grade NPI moved lower on 18 September while China stainless futures posted their first weekly gain in six weeks. Indian stainless scrap prices fell week-on-week as buyers shifted to alternatives, while chrome inputs were comparatively steady.

Read →
Friday, 18 September 2026

Nickel rebounds, but 300-series inputs stay soft

LME nickel rebounded on 17 September, but Indonesian NPI and nickel ore softened while chrome inputs barely moved. India stainless prices stayed firm as tight scrap offset cautious demand.

Read →
Thursday, 17 September 2026

India stays firm while China stainless weakens

China stainless futures and NPI softened while an Indian mill’s 316L revision kept domestic pricing firm, widening the domestic-global divergence.

Read →
Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Nickel weakens while Indian coil prices rise

Nickel softened while NPI fell sharply, chrome eased only marginally, Indian mills raised selected stainless coil prices, and DGTR's revised oral hearing falls today.

Read →