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Brief Date: Thursday, 24 September 2026Data as of: Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Nickel higher as stainless margins recover

Market Thesis

LME 3-month nickel advanced to 16,600 USD/mt following two sessions of Chinese futures support, while falling NPI input costs restored steel mill margins.

Trade Intelligence Notice: Indicative trade intelligence for industrial planning. Every figure carries its actual verified source and date. For firm contract pricing on specific coils, circles, or sheets, contact our desk.

China & Global Inputs

LME 3-month nickelNI-3M
USD 16,600/mt
Key Inventory SignalOfficial 3-month close for the 23 September session.
Up USD 60/mt day-on-daySource: Westmetall LME nickel table, 23 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
LME nickel stockLME-NI-STOCK
278,598 mt
Key Inventory SignalExchange inventory decreased marginally in the latest completed session.
Down 30 mt day-on-daySource: Westmetall LME nickel table, 23 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
SHFE stainless closeSHFE-SS
RMB 13,675/mt

Front-month benchmark recorded its first weekly gain in six weeks.

Up RMB 5/mt week-on-weekSource: SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
China 300-series social inventoryCN-300-STOCK
578,000 mt
Key Inventory SignalDrawdown driven by mill production cuts and low-price spot clearance.
Down 7,000 mt week-on-weekSource: SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
China high-grade NPICN-NPI
RMB 1,062.4/nickel unit

Spot prices drifted lower amid ample port inventories and cautious mill bids.

Down RMB 33.1/nickel unit week-on-weekSource: SMM NPI analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom
Indonesia NPI FOBID-NPI
USD 137.08/nickel unit

Transmitted lower Chinese buying pressure to Indonesian material.

Down USD 4.06/nickel unit week-on-weekSource: SMM NPI analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom
Desk Outlook

Market Read: Outlook & Risk Balance

Market BiasBearish raw material cost with stabilizing finished prices
Horizon2 to 4 weeks
PaceGradual adjustment
Analytical Reasoning

LME nickel found modest support near recent lows while high-grade NPI prices continued to correct downward, widening the spread between raw input costs and finished stainless steel and restoring producer margins.

Key Factors to Watch
  • Execution pace of announced mill production cuts in China
  • Transmission of US monetary policy expectations to base metals
Step-Change Risk

Energy cost escalation driven by Middle East infrastructure disruptions threatening European and global smelting overheads.

Statutory & Trade Defense

Policy Watch

Anti-Dumping Investigation on CR Stainless Steel

Active proceeding

Investigation covering CR stainless 300 and 400 series from China, Indonesia, and Vietnam with settled scope criteria.

Source: DGTR trade remedies filings - https://www.dgtr.gov.in
OEM Deep Draw & Tooling

Utensils & Houseware Manufacturing Impact

Smart home consumption action plans announced by MOFCOM offer medium-term support for stainless end-uses, though spot transaction demand remains subdued.

The cards

Nickel higher as stainless margins recover — card 1 of 4Nickel higher as stainless margins recover — card 2 of 4Nickel higher as stainless margins recover — card 3 of 4Nickel higher as stainless margins recover — card 4 of 4

The same cards posted on social. Open one for the full size.

Source Attribution: Westmetall LME nickel table, 23 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash; SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back; SMM NPI analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123355-smm-analysis-inventory-accumulation-and-weak-demand-push-high-grade-npi-lower-in-search-of-a-bottom

Published by Metal Dock B2B Trade Intelligence Desk  ·  Wazirpur Industrial Area, Delhi

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Market History

Previous Daily Briefs

View Latest
Wednesday, 23 September 2026

LME nickel rises as NPI costs ease

LME nickel 3-month prices advanced while high-grade NPI spot prices continued their downward adjustment, easing margin pressure for stainless steel mills.

Read →
Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Nickel bounces as input costs find floor

LME nickel and SHFE stainless edge higher as supply cuts and cost compression restore mill margins, though peak-season restocking remains subdued.

Read →
Monday, 21 September 2026

Nickel costs slide as stainless finds floor

SHFE stainless futures steadied near a V-shaped floor as sharp declines in high-grade NPI and LME nickel restored mill margins despite sluggish peak-season end-user demand.

Read →
Sunday, 20 September 2026

Nickel inputs soften; India scrap follows lower

Nickel and NPI inputs ended the week lower while China stainless futures steadied and 300-series social inventory declined. Indian stainless scrap prices also fell week-on-week as buyers shifted toward alternatives.

Read →
Saturday, 19 September 2026

Nickel and NPI soften as India scrap turns lower

LME nickel and high-grade NPI moved lower on 18 September while China stainless futures posted their first weekly gain in six weeks. Indian stainless scrap prices fell week-on-week as buyers shifted to alternatives, while chrome inputs were comparatively steady.

Read →
Friday, 18 September 2026

Nickel rebounds, but 300-series inputs stay soft

LME nickel rebounded on 17 September, but Indonesian NPI and nickel ore softened while chrome inputs barely moved. India stainless prices stayed firm as tight scrap offset cautious demand.

Read →
Thursday, 17 September 2026

India stays firm while China stainless weakens

China stainless futures and NPI softened while an Indian mill’s 316L revision kept domestic pricing firm, widening the domestic-global divergence.

Read →
Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Nickel weakens while Indian coil prices rise

Nickel softened while NPI fell sharply, chrome eased only marginally, Indian mills raised selected stainless coil prices, and DGTR's revised oral hearing falls today.

Read →