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Brief Date: Saturday, 26 September 2026Data as of: Friday, 25 September 2026

Nickel retreats as mill cost pressure eases

Market Thesis

LME nickel slipped to USD 16,230/mt while NPI and ferrochrome costs continued to soften, granting Chinese mills some margin relief despite subdued peak-season demand.

Trade Intelligence Notice: Indicative trade intelligence for industrial planning. Every figure carries its actual verified source and date. For firm contract pricing on specific coils, circles, or sheets, contact our desk.

China & Global Inputs

LME 3-month nickelNI-3M
USD 16,230/mt
Key Inventory SignalOfficial 3-month close for the 25 September session.
Down USD 245/mt day-on-daySource: Westmetall LME nickel table, 25 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
LME nickel stockLME-NI-STOCK
284,946 mt
Key Inventory SignalExchange inventory increased in the latest completed session.
Up 6,048 mt day-on-daySource: Westmetall LME nickel table, 25 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash
SHFE stainless closeSHFE-SS
RMB 13,675/mt

Front-month benchmark recorded its first weekly gain after five weeks of declines.

Up RMB 5/mt week-on-weekSource: SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
China 300-series social inventoryCN-300-STOCK
578,000 mt
Key Inventory SignalDrawdown driven by mill production cuts and low-price spot clearance.
Down 7,000 mt week-on-weekSource: SMM stainless weekly analysis, 18 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back
Desk Outlook

Market Read: Outlook & Risk Balance

Market BiasBearish near-term cost pressure with stabilizing finished futures
Horizon2 to 4 weeks
PaceModerate drift
Analytical Reasoning

Upstream raw material corrections outpace finished price declines, gradually restoring mill margins while end-user restocking remains cautious.

Key Factors to Watch
  • Sustained execution of mill production cuts
  • Transmission of global nickel price drops into domestic pricing
Step-Change Risk

Potential tariff and duty adjustments following trade remedy investigation extensions.

Statutory & Trade Defense

Policy Watch

Anti-Dumping Probe Extension on Stainless CR Flat Products

Extended

DGTR extended the anti-dumping investigation on stainless steel cold-rolled flat products from China, Indonesia, and Vietnam by six months to March 28, 2027.

Source: SMM stainless steel flash, 25 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back

The cards

Nickel retreats as mill cost pressure eases — card 1 of 3Nickel retreats as mill cost pressure eases — card 2 of 3Nickel retreats as mill cost pressure eases — card 3 of 3

The same cards posted on social. Open one for the full size.

Source Attribution: Westmetall LME nickel table (25 Sep 2026 - https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Ni_cash); SMM Stainless Steel Weekly Analysis & Flash (18 Sep 2026 & 25 Sep 2026 - https://news.metal.com/newscontent/104123103-smm-analysis-chinas-stainless-futures-find-a-floor-as-collapsing-nickel-costs-hand-mills-their-margins-back)

Published by Metal Dock B2B Trade Intelligence Desk  ·  Wazirpur Industrial Area, Delhi

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Market History

Previous Daily Briefs

View Latest
Thursday, 25 September 2026

Nickel and NPI ease as trade probe extends

LME nickel and high-grade NPI ease while mill margins recover; India extends its anti-dumping probe on cold-rolled flat products to March 2027.

Read →
Thursday, 24 September 2026

Nickel higher as stainless margins recover

LME 3-month nickel advanced to 16,600 USD/mt following two sessions of Chinese futures support, while falling NPI input costs restored steel mill margins.

Read →
Wednesday, 23 September 2026

LME nickel rises as NPI costs ease

LME nickel 3-month prices advanced while high-grade NPI spot prices continued their downward adjustment, easing margin pressure for stainless steel mills.

Read →
Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Nickel bounces as input costs find floor

LME nickel and SHFE stainless edge higher as supply cuts and cost compression restore mill margins, though peak-season restocking remains subdued.

Read →
Monday, 21 September 2026

Nickel costs slide as stainless finds floor

SHFE stainless futures steadied near a V-shaped floor as sharp declines in high-grade NPI and LME nickel restored mill margins despite sluggish peak-season end-user demand.

Read →
Sunday, 20 September 2026

Nickel inputs soften; India scrap follows lower

Nickel and NPI inputs ended the week lower while China stainless futures steadied and 300-series social inventory declined. Indian stainless scrap prices also fell week-on-week as buyers shifted toward alternatives.

Read →
Saturday, 19 September 2026

Nickel and NPI soften as India scrap turns lower

LME nickel and high-grade NPI moved lower on 18 September while China stainless futures posted their first weekly gain in six weeks. Indian stainless scrap prices fell week-on-week as buyers shifted to alternatives, while chrome inputs were comparatively steady.

Read →
Friday, 18 September 2026

Nickel rebounds, but 300-series inputs stay soft

LME nickel rebounded on 17 September, but Indonesian NPI and nickel ore softened while chrome inputs barely moved. India stainless prices stayed firm as tight scrap offset cautious demand.

Read →
Thursday, 17 September 2026

India stays firm while China stainless weakens

China stainless futures and NPI softened while an Indian mill’s 316L revision kept domestic pricing firm, widening the domestic-global divergence.

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Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Nickel weakens while Indian coil prices rise

Nickel softened while NPI fell sharply, chrome eased only marginally, Indian mills raised selected stainless coil prices, and DGTR's revised oral hearing falls today.

Read →